{"id":54902,"date":"2025-07-30T17:32:52","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T15:32:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.accuracy.com\/?p=54902"},"modified":"2025-09-03T17:40:26","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T15:40:26","slug":"2025-une-annee-solide-en-perspective-pour-les-grandes-banques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.accuracy.com\/fr\/2025-a-solid-year-in-prospect-for-major-banks\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 - une ann\u00e9e solide en perspective pour les grandes banques"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Par Nicolas Darbo, associ\u00e9, Accuracy<\/strong><\/p>

Pour l'instant, l'ann\u00e9e 2025 s'annonce calme pour les grandes banques. Hormis le leasing automobile, la plupart des m\u00e9tiers affichent une croissance confortable, en particulier la banque de financement et d'investissement et la banque de d\u00e9tail. Dans ce contexte, la SG est en avance sur son plan de marche et BNPP pr\u00e9voit un excellent deuxi\u00e8me trimestre. Sauf crise majeure d'ici d\u00e9cembre, l'ann\u00e9e devrait \u00eatre tr\u00e8s bonne.<\/p>

JPMorgan affiche des r\u00e9sultats trimestriels meilleurs que pr\u00e9vu<\/strong><\/p>

En excluant la plus-value exceptionnelle sur la vente des actions Visa au T2 2024 (7,9 milliards), JPMorgan a r\u00e9alis\u00e9 un solide T2, avec un r\u00e9sultat net de 15 milliards. Les revenus totaux ont atteint 44,9 milliards, en hausse de 11% hors plus-value, gr\u00e2ce notamment aux activit\u00e9s de march\u00e9 (+15%). La banque de d\u00e9tail a progress\u00e9 de 6% gr\u00e2ce au cr\u00e9dit \u00e0 la consommation, avec une stabilisation des marges d'int\u00e9r\u00eat (+2%). Les charges ont \u00e9t\u00e9 ma\u00eetris\u00e9es (+0%) et le risque a diminu\u00e9 (-7%).<\/p>

Dans le domaine de la banque de d\u00e9tail, JPMorgan poursuit sa strat\u00e9gie d'expansion. Le groupe a annonc\u00e9 l'ouverture de 500 nouvelles agences d'ici 2027, tout en r\u00e9novant pr\u00e8s de 1 700 sites existants. Parall\u00e8lement, il d\u00e9veloppe une offre premium pour les clients fortun\u00e9s avec la mont\u00e9e en puissance des \" J.P. Morgan Financial Centers \". \u00c0 l'international, la banque num\u00e9rique Chase UK poursuit son d\u00e9veloppement, avec une version allemande en pr\u00e9paration.<\/p>

Dans la banque de financement et d'investissement et la gestion d'actifs, JPMorgan se concentre sans surprise sur l'IA g\u00e9n\u00e9rative pour am\u00e9liorer son efficacit\u00e9 globale. Moins attendue est la cr\u00e9ation d'un centre d'analyse g\u00e9opolitique interne, refl\u00e9tant la volont\u00e9 d'accompagner les clients dans un monde de plus en plus complexe. Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la banque priv\u00e9e, la banque a annonc\u00e9 la nomination d'un responsable mondial et le lancement d'ETF actifs et de fonds de march\u00e9s priv\u00e9s destin\u00e9s \u00e0 une client\u00e8le fortun\u00e9e plus exigeante.<\/p>

BNP Paribas vise un b\u00e9n\u00e9fice net de 12,2 milliards d'euros en 2025<\/strong><\/p>

BNP Paribas affiche des r\u00e9sultats solides pour le deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2025, en ligne avec sa trajectoire annuelle. Le produit net bancaire progresse de 2,5% \u00e0 12,6 milliards, avec des contrastes entre les m\u00e9tiers, et le r\u00e9sultat net part du groupe atteint 3,26 milliards, malgr\u00e9 un effet de base fiscal d\u00e9favorable. Les charges d'exploitation sont ma\u00eetris\u00e9es (+0,8%), le co\u00fbt du risque reste contenu \u00e0 38 points de base, et le ratio CET1 se maintient \u00e0 12,5%. Le ROE s'\u00e9tablit \u00e0 10,6%, en hausse par rapport \u00e0 l'ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>

Par grand m\u00e9tier, la BFI continue de tirer la croissance, avec des revenus en hausse de 4% gr\u00e2ce aux produits de taux (+28%), qui compensent la baisse du trading actions (-14%). Le p\u00f4le CPBS reste stable (+0,4%), soutenu par la banque commerciale (+5%) et malgr\u00e9 les services financiers (-7%). Le p\u00f4le Services d'investissement et de protection progresse de 4,4%, port\u00e9 par l'assurance (+8,2%) et la banque priv\u00e9e (+6,1%), tandis que la gestion d'actifs recule l\u00e9g\u00e8rement (-1,8%).<\/p>

Les perspectives restent solides pour le second semestre 2025, avec une croissance anticip\u00e9e du chiffre d'affaires de plus de 5% hors int\u00e9gration d'Axa IM. BNPP pr\u00e9voit une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des revenus d'int\u00e9r\u00eats li\u00e9e \u00e0 l'am\u00e9lioration du sc\u00e9nario de taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat et \u00e0 des gains d'efficacit\u00e9 op\u00e9rationnelle. La trajectoire annuelle est confirm\u00e9e, avec un objectif de r\u00e9sultat net sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 12,2 milliards (contre 11,7 milliards en 2024) et une augmentation du ROTE de 0,6 point par rapport \u00e0 2024.<\/p>

La Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale rel\u00e8ve ses objectifs financiers pour 2025<\/strong><\/p>

Excellent deuxi\u00e8me trimestre pour la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale : le r\u00e9sultat net part du groupe atteint 1,4 milliard, en hausse de 31% sur un an. Les revenus ont augment\u00e9 de 1,6% \u00e0 6,8 milliards, tir\u00e9s notamment par la banque de d\u00e9tail. L'augmentation du r\u00e9sultat net est \u00e9galement le fruit d'une tr\u00e8s bonne ma\u00eetrise des charges d'exploitation (-5,2%) et des risques (-8,2% \u00e0 25 pb sur les encours de cr\u00e9dit). Le ROE progresse de plus de deux points \u00e0 8,6%, avec un ratio CET1 bien sup\u00e9rieur aux exigences \u00e0 13,5%.<\/p>

Comme pour ses pairs, tous les secteurs d'activit\u00e9 n'ont pas enregistr\u00e9 les m\u00eames performances au cours du trimestre. La banque de d\u00e9tail en France a repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 la plus grande part de la croissance des revenus, avec une augmentation de 13,1%, y compris une augmentation de 14,3% des revenus nets d'int\u00e9r\u00eats. La banque de d\u00e9tail \u00e0 l'international et la banque priv\u00e9e ont \u00e9t\u00e9 affect\u00e9es par des cessions d'actifs. La banque de financement et d'investissement a progress\u00e9 de 0,7% gr\u00e2ce aux revenus fixes, et Ayvens a surperform\u00e9 ses pairs dans l'environnement actuel (+0,4%).<\/p>

Ces r\u00e9sultats confirment la tendance des banques fran\u00e7aises, dont plusieurs ont relev\u00e9 leurs objectifs de r\u00e9sultats ou sont en avance sur leurs objectifs. C'est notamment le cas de la SG qui a relev\u00e9 plusieurs de ses objectifs \u00e0 l'horizon 2025 : une croissance des revenus de plus de 3% sur l'ann\u00e9e, un coefficient d'exploitation inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 65% au lieu de 66%, un objectif de ROTE de 9% au lieu de 8%. Le cours de l'action refl\u00e8te cette performance, puisqu'il a plus que doubl\u00e9 au cours de l'ann\u00e9e \u00e9coul\u00e9e.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Nicolas Darbo, Partner, Accuracy For the moment, 2025 looks set to be a calm year for the major banks. Apart from car leasing, most business lines are showing comfortable growth, particularly corporate and investment banking and retail banking. Against this backdrop, SG is ahead of its business plan and BNPP is expecting an excellent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":54918,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[212,265],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","category-financial-services-banking-insurance-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n2025 \u2013 a solid year in prospect for major banks - Accuracy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex,nofollow\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.accuracy.com\/fr\/2025-une-annee-solide-en-perspective-pour-les-grandes-banques\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2025 \u2013 a solid year in prospect for major banks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Nicolas Darbo, Partner, Accuracy For the moment, 2025 looks set to be a calm year for the major banks. Apart from car leasing, most business lines are showing comfortable growth, particularly corporate and investment banking and retail banking. 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