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Business case

Merger assistance in the airline industry

Context

A large French airline sought to merge its regional airlines into one company with a new business model. It also planned to reduce overall activity by 20% via route closures, disposals and lay-offs. We were asked to assess whether or not the project was viable by reviewing and adjusting a simplified BP and subsequently to assist the company throughout the entire restructuring process.

Key Takeaway

Modelling for an airline is complex as it is necessary to address and incorporate the following points: individually operated routes; the type of aircraft used; how many seats are available; how many trips per day; what load factor should be used; what the pricing strategy and economic environment should be; and other issues, such as how network use affects crew and maintenance costs, distribution costs, etc. The main take away of this engagement was the ‘client-surrounding strategy’, where we built a very central position within the general management team. We performed services to complete the engagement, such as the creation of a project management tool to help the new airline implement its action plan. Our added value was being able to anticipate our client’s needs and position ourselves well to support them.

Accuracy Role

Our work was structured in four phases: Phase 1 – assessing project viability; preparing a simplified BP; simulating work groups to define the future airline profile. Phase 2 – developing the BP and cash forecasts further; analysing restructuring costs; participating in organisation workshops; preparing workers’ council negotiations. Phase 3 – preparing the third version of the BP; adjusting the business plan to reflect new assumptions; modelling cash flows; presenting to the group’s financial directors; negotiating the restructuring measures further with the workers’ council; preparing documentation needed for the French Civil Aviation Authority. Phase 4 – creating a project management tool helping the new airline to implement its cost reduction plan.

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